The Bayesian Tragedy: Anything That Can Go Wrong Will Go Wrong

SHOULD A COPY OF MURPHY'S LAW BE POSTED ON THE WALL OF EVERY YACHT DESIGN AND PLANS-REVIEW OFFICE?

Edward Aloysius Murphy Jr. was an American aerospace engineer who worked on safety-critical systems — Wikipedia

DM from a FYBBO reader:

“As a naval architect having designed all manner of vessels, and worked in plan approval at [a major classification society] , I can tell you that Murphy's Law is definitely not ever considered….”

This snippet arrived in…